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Below are the poll results based on telephone interviews with 1200 likely voters in Florida, aged 18+, and conducted April 21-23, 2006. The margin of sampling error is �3 percentage points.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance?
Approve 36%
Disapprove 55%
Undecided 9%

2. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy?
Approve 32%
Disapprove 57%
Undecided 11%

3. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of Iraq?
Approve 38%
Disapprove 52%
Undecided 10%

4. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war on terrorism?
Approve 48%
Disapprove 41%
Undecided 11%

5. Do you view President Bush as a conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan? (Republicans Only)
Yes 22%
No 54%
Undecided 24%

6. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Jeb Bush's job performance?
Approve 57%
Disapprove 30%
Undecided 13%

7. Who is your first choice for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans only)
Rudy Giuliani 37%
John McCain 30%
Newt Gingrich 6%
George Allen 6%
Mitt Romney 5%
Bill Frist 2%
George Pataki 1%
Rick Santorum 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 11%

8. Would you like to see Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice run for President in 2008? (Republicans only)
Yes 45%
No 37%
Undecided 18%

9. If Condoleeza Rice were to run for President in 2008, whom would you support for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans only)
Rudy Giuliani 34%
John McCain 25%
Condoleeza Rice 10%
Newt Gingrich 5%
George Allen 5%
Mitt Romney 4%
Bill Frist 3%
George Pataki 1%
Rick Santorum 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 11%

10. Who is your first choice for the Democratic nomination in 2008? (Democrats only)
Hillary Clinton 32%
Al Gore 15%
John Edwards 13%
Mark Warner 8%
John Kerry 8%
Russ Feingold 5%
Wesley Clark 3%
Joseph Biden 1%
Bill Richardson 1%
Ed Rendell 1%
Tom Vilsak 1%
Evan Bayh 1%
Barbara Boxer 1%
Undecided 10%

11. Would you like to see the United States Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade?
Yes 35%
No 55%
Undecided 10%

12. Do you expect another terrorist attack in the next six months?
Yes 71%
No 8%
Undecided 21%

13. Do you approve or disapprove of Lt. Governor Toni Jennings' job performance?
Approve 48%
Disapprove 25%
Undecided 27%

14. Do you approve or disapprove of Attorney General Charlie Crist's job performance?
Approve 54%
Disapprove 35%
Undecided 11%

15. Do you approve or disapprove of Chief Financial Officer Tom Gallagher's job performance?
Approve 50%
Disapprove 36%
Undecided 14%

16. Do you approve or disapprove of Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Bronson's job performance?
Approve 40%
Disapprove 26%
Undecided 34%

17. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Bill Nelson's job performance?
Approve 48%
Disapprove 38%
Undecided 14%

18. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mel Martinez's job performance?
Approve 41%
Disapprove 35%
Undecided 24%

19. If the election for the Republican nomination for Governor in 2006 were held today between Attorney General Charlie Crist and Chief Financial Officer Tom Gallagher, whom would you vote for? (Republicans only)
Charlie Crist 47%
Tom Gallagher 35%
Undecided 18%

20. Are you satisfied with the two Republican candidates running for Governor or would you prefer to see someone else run? (Republicans only)
Satisfied 65%
Prefer another candidate 20%
Undecided 15%

21. If the election for the Democratic nomination for Governor in 2006 were held today between Congressman Jim Davis and State Senator Rod Smith, whom would you vote for? (Democrats only)
Jim Davis 44%
Rod Smith 21%
Undecided 35%

22. Are you satisfied with the two Democratic candidates running for Governor or would you prefer to see someone else run? (Democrats only)
Satisfied 47%
Prefer another candidate 43%
Undecided 10%

23. If the election for Governor were between Charlie Crist, the Republican and Jim Davis, the Democrat, whom would you support?
Charlie Crist 46%
Jim Davis 39%
Undecided 15%

24. If the election for Governor were between Tom Gallagher, the Republican and Jim Davis, the Democrat, whom would you support?
Tom Gallagher 44%
Jim Davis 40%
Undecided 16%

25. If the election for Governor were between Charlie Crist, the Republican and Rod Smith, the Democrat, whom would you support?
Charlie Crist 49%
Rod Smith 33%
Undecided 18%

26. If the election for Governor were between Tom Gallagher, the Republican and Rod Smith, the Democrat, whom would you support?
Tom Gallagher 44%
Rod Smith 35%
Undecided 21%

27. If the election for Chief Financial Officer were held today between State Senate President Tom Lee and State Representative Randy Johnson, whom would you support? (Republicans only)
Tom Lee 28%
Randy Johnson 23%
Undecided 49%

28. If the election for Attorney General were held today between former Congressman Bill McCollum, State Representative Joe Negron, State Representative Everett Rice, and State Senator Burt Saunders, whom would you support? (Republicans only)
Bill McCollum 43%
Joe Negron 12%
Everett Rice 7%
Burt Saunders 4%
Undecided 34%

29. If the election for the Republican nomination for United States Senator in 2006 were held today, whom would you support? (Republicans only)
Tommy Franks 38%
Katherine Harris 34%
Mark Foley 5%
Allan Bense 4%
Tom Lee 3%
Ginny Brown-Waite 3%
Dave Weldon 2%
Daniel Webster 1%
Undecided 10%

30. If the election for the Republican nomination for United States Senator in 2006 were held today, whom would you support? (Republicans only; Franks Excluded)
Katherine Harris 36%
Tom Gallagher 34%
Mark Foley 7%
Allan Bense 5%
Tom Lee 3%
Ginny Brown-Waite 2%
Dave Weldon 1%
Daniel Webster 1%
Undecided 11%

31. If the election for the Republican nomination for United States Senator in 2006 were held today, whom would you support? (Republicans only; Gallagher Excluded)
Katherine Harris 35%
Mark Foley 19%
Allan Bense 12%
Tom Lee 8%
Ginny Brown-Waite 5%
Dave Weldon 3%
Daniel Webster 1%
Undecided 17%

32. If the election for the Republican nomination for United States Senator in 2006 were held today, whom would you support Katherine Harris or Alan Bense?
Katherine Harris 38%
Allan Bense 21%
Undecided 41%

33. If the election for the Republican nomination for United States Senator in 2006 were held today, whom would you support Katherine Harris or Mark Foley?
Katherine Harris 39%
Mark Foley 24%
Undecided 37%

34. If the election for the Republican nomination for United States Senator in 2006 were held today, whom would you support? (Republicans only; Harris Excluded)
Tommy Franks 42%
Mark Foley 15%
Allan Bense 7%
Ginny Brown-Waite 4%
Dave Weldon 3%
Tom Lee 3%
Daniel Webster 2%
Undecided 24%

35. If the election for the Republican nomination for United States Senator in 2006 were held today, whom would you support? (Republicans only; Harris and Franks Excluded)
Tom Gallagher 33%
Mark Foley 21%
Allan Bense 5%
Ginny Brown-Waite 4%
Dave Weldon 3%
Tom Lee 2%
Daniel Webster 1%
Undecided 31%

36. If the election for the Republican nomination for United States Senator in 2006 were held today, whom would you support? (Republicans only; Harris, Franks, Gallagher Excluded)
Mark Foley 28%
Allan Bense 12%
Ginny Brown-Waite 7%
Tom Lee 6%
Dave Weldon 3%
Daniel Webster 1%
Undecided 43%

37. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Katherine Harris?
Favorable 25%
Unfavorable 54%
Undecided 21%

38. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bill Nelson?
Favorable 46%
Unfavorable 13%
Undecided 41%

39. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Katherine Harris, the Republican?
Bill Nelson 56%
Katherine Harris 24%
Undecided 20%

40. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Tommy Franks, the Republican?
Bill Nelson 45%
Tommy Franks 45%
Undecided 10%

41. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Tom Gallagher, the Republican?
Bill Nelson 47%
Tom Gallagher 45%
Undecided 8%

42. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Mark Foley, the Republican?
Bill Nelson 48%
Mark Foley 39%
Undecided 13%

43. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Allan Bense, the Republican?
Bill Nelson 47%
Allan Bense 36%
Undecided 17%

44. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Ginny Brown-Waite, the Republican?
Bill Nelson 48%
Ginny Brown-Waite 39%
Undecided 13%

45. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Tom Lee, the Republican?
Bill Nelson 48%
Tom Lee 37%
Undecided 15%

46. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Dave Weldon, the Republican?
Bill Nelson 48%
Dave Weldon 37%
Undecided 15%

47. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Daniel Webster, the Republican?
Bill Nelson 52%
Daniel Webster 32%
Undecided 16%

48. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Jeb Bush, the Republican?
Jeb Bush 52%
Bill Nelson 39%
Undecided 9%

49. Do you think Florida is headed in the right direction or the wrong direction?
Right 42%
Wrong 43%
Undecided 15%

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Predicted Electoral Math

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Odds of Winning

tab Obama -230, McCain +160

Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures
AK: Stevens vs Begich
CO: Schaffer vs Udall
IA: Reed vs Harkin
ID: Risch vs Larocco
KS: Roberts vs Slattery
KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
MA: Beatty vs Kerry
MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
ME: Collins vs Allen
MN: Coleman vs Franken
MS: Cochran vs Fleming
MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
NC: Dole vs Hagan
NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
NM: Pearce vs Udall
OK: Inhofe vs Rice
OR: Smith vs Merkley
SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
TX: Cornyn vs Noriega

VA: Gilmore vs Warner

 

Polls We Have Conducted...

tab CA: Bush, Congress, Arnold
tab CA: Issues
tab CA: Prop 98 & 99
tab CA: Impact of Gender & Boss
tab CA: General Election

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City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming.

One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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