Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008

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Below are the poll results based on telephone interviews with 1200 likely voters in Florida, aged 18+, and conducted May 11-13, 2007. The margin of sampling error is �3 percentage points.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance?
Approve 33%
Disapprove 58%
Undecided 9%

2. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy?
Approve 35%
Disapprove 56%
Undecided 9%

3. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of Iraq?
Approve 28%
Disapprove 60%
Undecided 12%

4. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war on terrorism?
Approve 48%
Disapprove 42%
Undecided 10%

5. Do you view President Bush as a conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan? (Republicans Only)
Yes 10%
No 69%
Undecided 21%

6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is performing its job?
Approve 27%
Disapprove 61%
Undecided 12%

7. Do you believe that Democrats in Congress have a better plan to resolve the Iraq War then President Bush?
Yes 22%
No 63%
Undecided 15%

8. Do you favor an immediate withdrawal of the United States military forces from Iraq, within the six months?
Yes 51%
No 39%
Undecided 10%

9. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Charlie Crist's job performance?
Approve 69%
Disapprove 20%
Undecided 11%

10. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Bill Nelson's job performance?
Approve 51%
Disapprove 34%
Undecided 15%

11. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mel Martinez's job performance?
Approve 45%
Disapprove 36%
Undecided 19%

12. Who is your first choice for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans only)
Rudy Giuliani 32%
John McCain 20%
Fred Thompson 10%
Newt Gingrich 7%
Mitt Romney 5%
Sam Brownback 3%
Tom Tancredo 2%
Mike Huckabee 2%
Ron Paul 2%
Tommy Thompson 1%
Jim Gilmore 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Duncan Hunter 1%
Undecided 13%

13. Are you satisfied with the current field of announced Republican presidential candidates for 2008? (Republicans only)
Yes 24%
No 47%
Undecided 29%

14. How important is it for the Republican presidential candidate to be a conservative Republican in the mode of Ronald Reagan, very important, somewhat important, not very important, not important, undecided? (Republicans Only)
Very Important 42%
Somewhat Important 19%
Not Very Important 5%
Not Important 10%
Undecided 24%

15. Who is your first choice for the Democratic nomination in 2008? (Democrats only)
Hillary Clinton 37%
Barack Obama 20%
John Edwards 19%
Joseph Biden 5%
Bill Richardson 4%
Christopher Dodd 2%
Dennis Kucinich 1%
Undecided 12%

16. Are you satisfied with the current field of announced Democratic presidential candidates for 2008? (Democrats only)
Yes 62%
No 21%
Undecided 17%

17. When making your selection for a presidential candidate, what are you looking for most in the candidate, charisma, experience, or ideology? (Democrats Only)
Ideology 33%
Experience 30%
Charisma 20%
Undecided 17%

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Predicted Electoral Math

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Odds of Winning

tab Obama -230, McCain +160

Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures
AK: Stevens vs Begich
CO: Schaffer vs Udall
IA: Reed vs Harkin
ID: Risch vs Larocco
KS: Roberts vs Slattery
KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
MA: Beatty vs Kerry
MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
ME: Collins vs Allen
MN: Coleman vs Franken
MS: Cochran vs Fleming
MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
NC: Dole vs Hagan
NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
NM: Pearce vs Udall
OK: Inhofe vs Rice
OR: Smith vs Merkley
SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
TX: Cornyn vs Noriega

VA: Gilmore vs Warner

 

Polls We Have Conducted...

tab CA: Bush, Congress, Arnold
tab CA: Issues
tab CA: Prop 98 & 99
tab CA: Impact of Gender & Boss
tab CA: General Election

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M.S. Engineering; UCLA

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Ph.D. Math; Berkeley
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High School Intern from Michigan

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City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming.

One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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