Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008

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Below are the poll results based on telephone interviews with 1200 likely voters in Florida, aged 18+, and conducted March 9-11, 2007. The margin of sampling error is �3 percentage points.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance?
Approve 36%
Disapprove 50%
Undecided 14%

2. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy?
Approve 39%
Disapprove 48%
Undecided 13%

3. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of Iraq?
Approve 31%
Disapprove 56%
Undecided 13%

4. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war on terrorism?
Approve 47%
Disapprove 40%
Undecided 13%

5. Do you believe that the United States is doing everything possible militarily to win the war in Iraq?
Yes 21%
No 61%
Undecided 18%

6. Would you support Congress denying the funding to send additional troops to Iraq?
Support 41%
Oppose 55%
Undecided 4%

7. Do you believe that Democrats in Congress have a better plan to resolve the Iraq War?
Yes 26%
No 56%
Undecided 18%

8. Do you favor an immediate withdrawal of the United States military forces from Iraq, within the six months?
Yes 44%
No 46%
Undecided 10%

9. Do you view President Bush as a conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan? (Republicans Only)
Yes 17%
No 62%
Undecided 21%

10. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Charlie Crist's job performance?
Approve 61%
Disapprove 23%
Undecided 16%

11. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Bill Nelson's job performance?
Approve 52%
Disapprove 36%
Undecided 12%

12. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mel Martinez's job performance?
Approve 44%
Disapprove 35%
Undecided 21%

13. Who is your first choice for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans only)
Rudy Giuliani 36%
John McCain 21%
Mitt Romney 8%
Newt Gingrich 6%
Sam Brownback 4%
Tom Tancredo 4%
Mike Huckabee 2%
Tommy Thompson 2%
Jim Gilmore 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Duncan Hunter 1%
Undecided 14%

14. Who is your first choice for the Democratic nomination in 2008? (Democrats only)
Hillary Clinton 32%
Barack Obama 22%
John Edwards 17%
Bill Richardson 5%
Joseph Biden 4%
Wesley Clark 2%
Christopher Dodd 1%
Dennis Kucinich 1%
Undecided 16%

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Predicted Electoral Math

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Odds of Winning

tab Obama -230, McCain +160

Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures
AK: Stevens vs Begich
CO: Schaffer vs Udall
IA: Reed vs Harkin
ID: Risch vs Larocco
KS: Roberts vs Slattery
KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
MA: Beatty vs Kerry
MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
ME: Collins vs Allen
MN: Coleman vs Franken
MS: Cochran vs Fleming
MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
NC: Dole vs Hagan
NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
NM: Pearce vs Udall
OK: Inhofe vs Rice
OR: Smith vs Merkley
SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
TX: Cornyn vs Noriega

VA: Gilmore vs Warner

 

Polls We Have Conducted...

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tab CA: Issues
tab CA: Prop 98 & 99
tab CA: Impact of Gender & Boss
tab CA: General Election

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proloyProloy "Paul" Bhatta
M.S. Engineering; UCLA

david charles terrDavid Terr
Ph.D. Math; Berkeley
joseph hunterJoseph Hunter
High School Intern from Michigan

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Chinese: 奥巴马, 麦凯恩.
City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming.

One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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