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Below are the poll results based on telephone interviews with 1200 registered voters in Florida, aged 18+, and conducted August 17-21, 2005. The margin of sampling error is �3 percentage points.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance?
Approve 47%

Disapprove 43%
Undecided 10%

2. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy?
Approve 46%
Disapprove 43%
Undecided 11%

3. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of Iraq?
Approve 47%
Disapprove 42%
Undecided 11%

4. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Jeb Bush's job performance?
Approve 55%
Disapprove 34%
Undecided 11%

5. Would you like to see Governor Jeb Bush run for President in 2008?
Yes 33%
No 52%
Undecided 15%

6. Would you like to see Governor Jeb Bush as a Vice Presidential Candidate in 2008?
Yes 47%
No 37%
Undecided 16%

7. Who is your choice for the Republican Presidential nomination in 2008? (Jeb Bush included. Republicans only)
Rudy Guliani 30%
John McCain 19%
Jeb Bush 16%
Newt Gingrich 8%
Bill Frist 6%
George Allen 3%
Rick Santorum 2%
Mitt Romney 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
George Pataki 1%
Undecided 13%

8. If Jeb Bush were not to run for President in 2008, who would you support for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans only)
Rudy Guliani 34%
John McCain 23%
Newt Gingrich 9%
Bill Frist 7%
George Allen 4%
George Pataki 2%
Rick Santorum 2%
Mitt Romney 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 17%

9. Would you like to see Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice run for President in 2008? (Republicans only)
Yes 48%
No 30%
Undecided 22%

10. If Condoleeza Rice were to run for President in 2008, who would you support for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans only)
Rudy Guliani 23%
Condoleeza Rice 21%
John McCain 11%
Newt Gingrich 6%
Bill Frist 4%
George Allen 2%
George Pataki 2%
Rick Santorum 2%
Mitt Romney 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 27%

11. Who is your first choice for the Democratic nomination in 2008? (Democrats only)
Hillary Clinton 37%
Al Gore 14%
John Kerry 11%
John Edwards 5%
Wesley Clark 5%
Joseph Biden 3%
Bill Richardson 2%
Russ Feingold 2%
Mark Warner 2%
Ed Rendell 1%
Tom Vilsak 1%
Evan Bayh 1%
Barbara Boxer 1%
Undecided 15%

12. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's nomination of Judge John Roberts to replace Sandra Day O'Connor?
Approve 57%
Disapprove 33%
Undecided 10%

13. Would you like to see the United States Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade?
Yes 38%
No 56%
Undecided 6%

14. Do you think President Bush should have met with Cindy Sheehan at Crawford, Texas?
Yes 32%
No 55%
Undecided 13%

15. Do you approve of Cindy Sheehan's protest against the Iraq War in Crawford, Texas?
Approve 29%
Disapprove 56%
Undecided 15%

16. Do you approve or disapprove of Lt. Governor Toni Jennings' job performance?
Approve 50%
Disapprove 18%
Undecided 32%

17. Do you approve or disapprove of Attorney General Charlie Crist's job performance?
Approve 55%
Disapprove 31%
Undecided 14%

18. Do you approve or disapprove of Chief Financial Officer Tom Gallagher's job performance?
Approve 56%
Disapprove 30%
Undecided 14%

19. Do you approve or disapprove of Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Bronson's job performance?
Approve 49%
Disapprove 20%
Undecided 31%

20. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Bill Nelson's job performance?
Approve 48%
Disapprove 40%
Undecided 12%

21. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mel Martinez's job performance?
Approve 42%
Disapprove 33%
Undecided 25%

22. If the election for the Republican nomination for Governor in 2006 were held today between Attorney General Charlie Crist and Chief Financial Officer Tom Gallagher, whom would you vote for? (Republicans only)
Charlie Crist 47%
Tom Gallagher 35%
Undecided 18%

23. Are you satisfied with the two Republican candidates running for Governor or would you prefer to see someone else run? (Republicans only)
Satisfied 63%
Prefer another candidate 14%
Undecided 23%

24. If the election for the Democratic nomination for Governor in 2006 were held today between Congressman Jim Davis, State Senator Rod Smith, and former Florida Democratic Chairman Scott Maddox, whom would you vote for? (Democrats only)
Jim Davis 27%
Rod Smith 13%
Scott Maddox 10%
Undecided 50%

25. Are you satisfied with the three Democratic candidates running for Governor or would you prefer to see someone else run? (Democrats only)
Satisfied 39%
Prefer another candidate 55%
Undecided 6%

26. If the election for Governor were between Charlie Crist, the Republican and Jim Davis, the Democrat, whom would you support?
Charlie Crist 48%
Jim Davis 35%
Undecided 17%

27. If the election for Governor were between Tom Gallagher, the Republican and Jim Davis, the Democrat, whom would you support?
Tom Gallagher 47%
Jim Davis 33%
Undecided 20%

28. If the election for Governor were between Charlie Crist, the Republican and Rod Smith, the Democrat, whom would you support?
Charlie Crist 49%
Rod Smith 29%
Undecided 22%

29. If the election for Governor were between Tom Gallagher, the Republican and Rod Smith, the Democrat, whom would you support?
Tom Gallagher 48%
Rod Smith 26%
Undecided 26%

30. If the election for Governor were between Charlie Crist, the Republican and Scott Maddox, the Democrat, whom would you support?
Charlie Crist 49%
Scott Maddox 26%
Undecided 25%

31. If the election for Governor were between Tom Gallagher, the Republican and Scott Maddox, the Democrat, whom would you support?
Tom Gallagher 48%
Scott Maddox 25%
Undecided 27%

32. If the election for the Republican nomination for United States Senator in 2006 were held today, whom would you support? (Republicans only)
Katherine Harris 55%
Tommy Franks 20%
Toni Jennings 8%
Mark Foley 6%
Undecided 11%

33. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Katherine Harris?
Favorable 38%
Unfavorable 35%
Undecided 27%

34. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bill Nelson?
Favorable 39%
Unfavorable 14%
Undecided 47%

35. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Katherine Harris, the Republican?
Bill Nelson 47%
Katherine Harris 38%
Undecided 15%

36. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Tommy Franks, the Republican?
Bill Nelson 45%
Tommy Franks 44%
Undecided 11%

37. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Toni Jennings, the Republican?
Bill Nelson 46%
Toni Jennings 40%
Undecided 14%

38. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Mark Foley, the Republican?
Bill Nelson 45%
Mark Foley 39%
Undecided 16%

39. Do you think Florida is headed in the right direction or the wrong direction?
Right 52%
Wrong 44%
Undecided 4%

40. Would you favor a state constitutional ban on same-sex marriages?
Yes 61%
No 33%
Undecided 6%

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Predicted Electoral Math

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Odds of Winning

tab Obama -230, McCain +160

Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures
AK: Stevens vs Begich
CO: Schaffer vs Udall
IA: Reed vs Harkin
ID: Risch vs Larocco
KS: Roberts vs Slattery
KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
MA: Beatty vs Kerry
MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
ME: Collins vs Allen
MN: Coleman vs Franken
MS: Cochran vs Fleming
MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
NC: Dole vs Hagan
NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
NM: Pearce vs Udall
OK: Inhofe vs Rice
OR: Smith vs Merkley
SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
TX: Cornyn vs Noriega

VA: Gilmore vs Warner

 

Polls We Have Conducted...

tab CA: Bush, Congress, Arnold
tab CA: Issues
tab CA: Prop 98 & 99
tab CA: Impact of Gender & Boss
tab CA: General Election

Useful History

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City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming.

One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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