Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008

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Below are the poll results based on telephone interviews with 1200 likely voters in Florida, aged 18+, and conducted November 9-11, 2007. The margin of sampling error is �3 percentage points.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance?
Approve 33%
Disapprove 61%
Undecided 6%

2. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy?
Approve 23%
Disapprove 63%
Undecided 14%

3. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of Iraq?
Approve 21%
Disapprove 67%
Undecided 12%

4. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war on terrorism?
Approve 53%
Disapprove 42%
Undecided 5%

5. Do you view President Bush as a conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan? (Republicans only)
Yes 6%
No 75%
Undecided 19%

6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is performing its job?
Approve 13%
Disapprove 72%
Undecided 15%

7. Do you believe that Democrats in Congress have a better plan to resolve the Iraq War then President Bush?
Yes 13%
No 67%
Undecided 20%

8. Do you favor an immediate withdrawal of the United States military forces from Iraq, within the next six months?
Yes 51%
No 35%
Undecided 14%

9. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Charlie Crist's job performance?
Approve 62%
Disapprove 26%
Undecided 12%

10. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Bill Nelson's job performance?
Approve 53%
Disapprove 34%
Undecided 13%

11. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mel Martinez's job performance?
Approve 45%
Disapprove 40%
Undecided 15%

12. Who is your first choice for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans only)
Rudy Giuliani 31%
Fred Thompson 13%
John McCain 13%
Mitt Romney 12%
Mike Huckabee 9%
Ron Paul 4%
Tom Tancredo 2%
Duncan Hunter 1%
Undecided 14%

13. How important is it for the Republican presidential candidate to be a conservative Republican in the mode of Ronald Reagan, very important, somewhat important, not very important, not important, or undecided? (Republicans only)
Very Important 47%
Somewhat Important 25%
Not Very Important 5%
Not Important 14%
Undecided 9%

14. Who is your first choice for the Democratic nomination in 2008? (Democrats only)
Hillary Clinton 47%
Barack Obama 27%
John Edwards 8%
Bill Richardson 4%
Joseph Biden 2%
Christopher Dodd 1%
Dennis Kucinich 1%
Undecided 10%

15. When making your selection for a presidential candidate, what are you looking for most in the candidate, charisma, experience, or ideology? (Democrats only)
Experience 37%
Ideology 28%
Charisma 17%
Undecided 18%

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Predicted Electoral Math

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Odds of Winning

tab Obama -230, McCain +160

Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures
AK: Stevens vs Begich
CO: Schaffer vs Udall
IA: Reed vs Harkin
ID: Risch vs Larocco
KS: Roberts vs Slattery
KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
MA: Beatty vs Kerry
MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
ME: Collins vs Allen
MN: Coleman vs Franken
MS: Cochran vs Fleming
MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
NC: Dole vs Hagan
NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
NM: Pearce vs Udall
OK: Inhofe vs Rice
OR: Smith vs Merkley
SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
TX: Cornyn vs Noriega

VA: Gilmore vs Warner

 

Polls We Have Conducted...

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tab CA: Issues
tab CA: Prop 98 & 99
tab CA: Impact of Gender & Boss
tab CA: General Election

Useful History

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proloyProloy "Paul" Bhatta
M.S. Engineering; UCLA

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Ph.D. Math; Berkeley
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High School Intern from Michigan

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Chinese: 奥巴马, 麦凯恩.
City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming.

One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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