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Below are the poll results based on telephone interviews with 1200 registered voters in Florida, aged 18+, and conducted November 25-28, 2005. The margin of sampling error is �3 percentage points.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance?
Approve 37%
Disapprove 54%
Undecided 9%

2. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy?
Approve 38%
Disapprove 49%
Undecided 13%

3. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of Iraq?
Approve 42%
Disapprove 50%
Undecided 8%

4. Do you view President Bush as a conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan? (Republicans Only)
Yes 27%
No 47%
Undecided 26%

5. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Jeb Bush's job performance?
Approve 55%
Disapprove 39%
Undecided 6%

6. Would you like to see Governor Jeb Bush run for President in 2008?
Yes 21%
No 63%
Undecided 16%

7. Would you like to see Governor Jeb Bush as a Vice Presidential Candidate in 2008?
Yes 32%
No 48%
Undecided 20%

8. Who is your choice for the Republican Presidential nomination in 2008? (Jeb Bush included, Republicans only)
Rudy Giuliani 35%
John McCain 24%
Jeb Bush 10%
Newt Gingrich 8%
Bill Frist 4%
George Allen 4%
Rick Santorum 1%
Mitt Romney 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
George Pataki 1%
Undecided 11%

9. If Jeb Bush were not to run for President in 2008, whom would you support for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans only)
Rudy Giuliani 40%
John McCain 26%
Newt Gingrich 9%
Bill Frist 4%
George Allen 4%
George Pataki 1%
Rick Santorum 1%
Mitt Romney 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 13%

10. Would you like to see Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice run for President in 2008? (Republicans only)
Yes 50%
No 40%
Undecided 10%

11. If Condoleeza Rice were to run for President in 2008, who would you support for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans only)
Rudy Guliani 33%
Condoleeza Rice 20%
John McCain 14%
Newt Gingrich 7%
Bill Frist 3%
George Allen 2%
George Pataki 1%
Rick Santorum 1%
Mitt Romney 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 17%

12. Who is your first choice for the Democratic nomination in 2008? (Democrats only)
Hillary Clinton 34%
Al Gore 13%
John Edwards 10%
John Kerry 8%
Wesley Clark 6%
Mark Warner 5%
Joseph Biden 3%
Bill Richardson 1%
Russ Feingold 1%
Ed Rendell 1%
Tom Vilsak 1%
Evan Bayh 1%
Barbara Boxer 1%
Undecided 15%

13. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's nomination of Judge Samuel Alito to replace Sandra Day O'Connor on the Supreme Court?
Approve 52%
Disapprove 38%
Undecided 10%

14. Would you like to see the United States Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade?
Yes 38%
No 56%
Undecided 6%

15. Do you expect another terrorist attack in the near future?
Yes 62%
No 10%
Undecided 28%

16. Do you approve or disapprove of Lt. Governor Toni Jennings' job performance?
Approve 46%
Disapprove 20%
Undecided 34%

17. Do you approve or disapprove of Attorney General Charlie Crist's job performance?
Approve 55%
Disapprove 32%
Undecided 13%

18. Do you approve or disapprove of Chief Financial Officer Tom Gallagher's job performance?
Approve 58%
Disapprove 30%
Undecided 12%

19. Do you approve or disapprove of Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Bronson's job performance?
Approve 45%
Disapprove 17%
Undecided 38%

20. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Bill Nelson's job performance?
Approve 48%
Disapprove 41%
Undecided 11%

21. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mel Martinez's job performance?
Approve 41%
Disapprove 37%
Undecided 22%

22. If the election for the Republican nomination for Governor in 2006 were held today between Attorney General Charlie Crist and Chief Financial Officer Tom Gallagher, whom would you vote for? (Republicans only)
Charlie Crist 47%
Tom Gallagher 40%
Undecided 13%

23. Are you satisfied with the two Republican candidates running for Governor or would you prefer to see someone else run? (Republicans only)
Satisfied 63%
Prefer another candidate 13%
Undecided 24%

24. If the election for the Democratic nomination for Governor in 2006 were held today between Congressman Jim Davis and State Senator Rod Smith, whom would you vote for? (Democrats only)
Jim Davis 34%
Rod Smith 19%
Undecided 47%

25. Are you satisfied with the two Democratic candidates running for Governor or would you prefer to see someone else run? (Democrats only)
Satisfied 35%
Prefer another candidate 55%
Undecided 10%

26. If the election for Governor were between Charlie Crist, the Republican and Jim Davis, the Democrat, whom would you support?
Charlie Crist 45%
Jim Davis 38%
Undecided 17%

27. If the election for Governor were between Tom Gallagher, the Republican and Jim Davis, the Democrat, whom would you support?
Tom Gallagher 48%
Jim Davis 37%
Undecided 15%

28. If the election for Governor were between Charlie Crist, the Republican and Rod Smith, the Democrat, whom would you support?
Charlie Crist 46%
Rod Smith 34%
Undecided 20%

29. If the election for Governor were between Tom Gallagher, the Republican and Rod Smith, the Democrat, whom would you support?
Tom Gallagher 47%
Rod Smith 35%
Undecided 18%

30. If the election for Chief Financial Officer were held today between State Senate President Tom Lee and State Representative Randy Johnson, whom would you support? (Republicans only)
Tom Lee 27%
Randy Johnson 19%
Undecided 54%

31. If the election for Attorney General were held today between former Congressman Bill McCollum, State Representative Joe Negron, State Representative Everett Rice, and State Senator Burt Saunders, whom would you support? (Republicans only)
Bill McCollum 41%
Joe Negron 13%
Everett Rice 11%
Burt Saunders 8%
Undecided 27%

32. If the election for the Republican nomination for United States Senator in 2006 were held today, whom would you support? (Republicans only)
Katherine Harris 48%
Toni Jennings 13%
Mark Foley 11%
Allan Bense 6%
Ginny Brown-Waite 5%
Dave Weldon 4%
Daniel Webster 1%
Undecided 12%

33. If the election for the Republican nomination for United States Senator in 2006 were held today, whom would you support? (Katherine Harris not included, Republicans only)
Toni Jennings 27%
Mark Foley 25%
Allan Bense 12%
Ginny Brown-Waite 9%
Dave Weldon 7%
Daniel Webster 4%
Undecided 16%

34. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Katherine Harris?
Favorable 33%
Unfavorable 42%
Undecided 25%

35. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bill Nelson?
Favorable 40%
Unfavorable 15%
Undecided 45%

36. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Katherine Harris, the Republican?
Bill Nelson 48%
Katherine Harris 32%
Undecided 20%

37. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Toni Jennings, the Republican?
Bill Nelson 47%
Toni Jennings 39%
Undecided 14%

38. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Mark Foley, the Republican?
Bill Nelson 47%
Mark Foley 40%
Undecided 13%

39. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Allan Bense, the Republican?
Bill Nelson 47%
Allan Bense 37%
Undecided 16%

40. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Ginny Brown-Waite, the Republican?
Bill Nelson 48%
Ginny Brown-Waite 39%
Undecided 13%

41. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Dave Weldon, the Republican?
Bill Nelson 47%
Dave Weldon 37%
Undecided 16%

42. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Daniel Webster, the Republican?
Bill Nelson 49%
Daniel Webster 33%
Undecided 18%

43. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Jeb Bush, the Republican?
Jeb Bush 51%
Bill Nelson 40%
Undecided 9%

44. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Charlie Crist, the Republican?
Charlie Crist 45%
Bill Nelson 44%
Undecided 11%

45. If the election were held today for United States Senate, whom would you support, Bill Nelson, the Democrat or Tom Gallagher, the Republican?
Tom Gallagher 46%
Bill Nelson 43%
Undecided 11%

46. Do you think Florida is headed in the right direction or the wrong direction?
Right 42%
Wrong 47%
Undecided 11%

47. Would you favor a state constitutional ban on same-sex marriages?
Yes 62%
No 33%
Undecided 5%

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Predicted Electoral Math

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Odds of Winning

tab Obama -230, McCain +160

Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures
AK: Stevens vs Begich
CO: Schaffer vs Udall
IA: Reed vs Harkin
ID: Risch vs Larocco
KS: Roberts vs Slattery
KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
MA: Beatty vs Kerry
MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
ME: Collins vs Allen
MN: Coleman vs Franken
MS: Cochran vs Fleming
MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
NC: Dole vs Hagan
NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
NM: Pearce vs Udall
OK: Inhofe vs Rice
OR: Smith vs Merkley
SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
TX: Cornyn vs Noriega

VA: Gilmore vs Warner

 

Polls We Have Conducted...

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tab CA: Issues
tab CA: Prop 98 & 99
tab CA: Impact of Gender & Boss
tab CA: General Election

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Chinese: 奥巴马, 麦凯恩.
City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming.

One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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