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Below are the results of a three-day poll of likely voters in the state of Michigan. Results are based on telephone interviews with 1200 likely voters in Michigan, aged 18+, and conducted March 10-12, 2006. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

1. Do approve or disapprove of Governor Jennifer Granholm's overall job performance?
Approve 49%
Disapprove 39%
Undecided 12%

2. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Debbie Stabenow's overall job performance?
Approve 48%
Disapprove 36%
Undecided 16%

3. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Carl Levin's overall job performance?
Approve 49%
Disapprove 33%
Undecided 18%

4. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance?
Approve 33%
Disapprove 58%
Undecided 9%

5. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy?
Approve 28%
Disapprove 61%
Undecided 11%

6. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the Iraq War?
Approve 37%
Disapprove 54%
Undecided 9%

7. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war on terrorism?
Approve 47%
Disapprove 42%
Undecided 11%

8. Do you view President Bush as a conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan? (Republicans only)
Yes 36%
No 48%
Undecided 16%

9. Do you think Michigan is headed in the right direction or the wrong direction?
Right 31%
Wrong 62%
Undecided 7%

10. Would you like to see the United States Supreme Court overturn the Roe v. Wade decision that makes abortions legal in the United States?
Yes 38%
No 58%
Undecided 4%

11. Do you expect another terrorist attack within the United States in the next six months?
Yes 83%
No 7%
Undecided 10%

12. Do you favor immediate withdrawal of all United States armed forces from Iraq within six months?
Yes 38%
No 45%
Undecided 17%

13. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for Jennifer Granholm, the Democrat or Dick DeVos, the Republican?
Jennifer Granholm 50%
Dick DeVos 33%
Undecided 17%

14. If the primary for United States Senator were held today, whom would you vote for Mike Bouchard, Keith Butler or Jerry Zandstra? (Republicans Only)
Mike Bouchard 34%
Keith Butler 23%
Jerry Zandstra 15%
Undecided 28%

15. Are you satisfied with current Republican candidates running for United States Senate or would you prefer another candidate to enter the race? (Republicans only)
Satisfied 43%
Prefer another candidate 35%
Undecided 22%

16. If the election for United States Senate were held today, whom would you vote for Debbie Stabenow, the Democrat or Mike Bouchard, the Republican?
Debbie Stabenow 48%
Mike Bouchard 37%
Undecided 15%

17. If the election for United States Senate were held today, whom would you vote for Debbie Stabenow, the Democrat or Keith Butler, the Republican?
Debbie Stabenow 51%
Keith Butler 28%
Undecided 21%

18. If the election for United States Senate were held today, whom would you vote for Debbie Stabenow, the Democrat or Jerry Zandstra, the Republican?
Debbie Stabenow 52%
Jerry Zandstra 24%
Undecided 24%

19. For the 2008 Republican Presidential Nomination whom would you support? (Republicans Only)
John McCain 36%
Rudy Giuliani 26%
Mitt Romney 12%
Newt Gingrich 5%
George Allen 4%
Bill Frist 3%
George Pataki 1%
Rick Santorum 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 11%

20. For the 2008 Republican Presidential Nomination whom would you support? (Republicans Only; Giuliani excluded)
John McCain 45%
Mitt Romney 14%
Newt Gingrich 7%
George Allen 4%
Bill Frist 3%
George Pataki 1%
Rick Santorum 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 24%

21. Would you like to see Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice run for President in 2008? (Republicans only)
Yes 47%
No 30%
Undecided 23%

22. If Condoleeza Rice were to run for President in 2008, whom would you support for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans only)
John McCain 30%
Rudy Giuliani 20%
Condoleezza Rice 11%
Mitt Romney 8%
Newt Gingrich 5%
George Allen 2%
Bill Frist 2%
Rick Santorum 1%
George Pataki 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 19%

23. If Condoleeza Rice were to run for President in 2008, whom would you support for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans only; Giuliani excluded)
John McCain 41%
Condoleezza Rice 15%
Mitt Romney 10%
Newt Gingrich 5%
George Allen 3%
Bill Frist 2%
Rick Santorum 1%
George Pataki 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 21%

24. For the 2008 Democratic Presidential Nomination whom would you support? (Democrats Only)
Hillary Clinton 32%
Al Gore 20%
John Edwards 11%
John Kerry 6%
Russ Feingold 5%
Mark Warner 4%
Wesley Clark 3%
Joseph Biden 2%
Evan Bayh 1%
Tom Vilsak 1%
Bill Richardson 1%
Ed Rendell 1%
Barbara Boxer 1%
Undecided 12%

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Predicted Electoral Math

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Odds of Winning

tab Obama -230, McCain +160

Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures
AK: Stevens vs Begich
CO: Schaffer vs Udall
IA: Reed vs Harkin
ID: Risch vs Larocco
KS: Roberts vs Slattery
KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
MA: Beatty vs Kerry
MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
ME: Collins vs Allen
MN: Coleman vs Franken
MS: Cochran vs Fleming
MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
NC: Dole vs Hagan
NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
NM: Pearce vs Udall
OK: Inhofe vs Rice
OR: Smith vs Merkley
SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
TX: Cornyn vs Noriega

VA: Gilmore vs Warner

 

Polls We Have Conducted...

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tab CA: Prop 98 & 99
tab CA: Impact of Gender & Boss
tab CA: General Election

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proloyProloy "Paul" Bhatta
M.S. Engineering; UCLA

david charles terrDavid Terr
Ph.D. Math; Berkeley
joseph hunterJoseph Hunter
High School Intern from Michigan

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Chinese: 奥巴马, 麦凯恩.
City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming.

One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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