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Below are the results of a three-day poll of likely voters in the state of Michigan. Results are based on telephone interviews with 1200 likely voters in Michigan, aged 18+, and conducted December 16-18, 2005. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

1. Do approve or disapprove of Governor Jennifer Granholm's job overall performance?
Approve 46%
Disapprove 47%
Undecided 7%

2. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Debbie Stabenow's overall job performance?
Approve 46%
Disapprove 37%
Undecided 17%

3. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Carl Levin's overall job performance?
Approve 53%
Disapprove 34%
Undecided 13%

4. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance?
Approve 36%
Disapprove 54%
Undecided 10%

5. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy?
Approve 29%
Disapprove 61%
Undecided 10%

6. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the Iraq War?
Approve 37%
Disapprove 51%
Undecided 12%

7. Do you view President Bush as a conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan? (Republicans only)
Yes 38%
No 45%
Undecided 17%

8. Do you think Michigan is headed in the right direction or the wrong direction?
Right 29%
Wrong 61%
Undecided 10%

9. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's nomination of Samuel Alito to replace Sandra Day O'Connor on the United States Supreme Court?
Approve 53%
Disapprove 36%
Undecided 11%

10. Would you like to see the United States Supreme Court overturn the Roe v. Wade decision that makes abortions legal in the United States?
Yes 35%
No 59%
Undecided 6%

11. Do you expect another terrorist attack within the United States in the next six months?
Yes 77%
No 8%
Undecided 15%

12. Do you favor immediate withdrawal of all United States armed forces from Iraq?
Yes 38%
No 48%
Undecided 14%

13. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for Jennifer Granholm, the Democrat or Dick DeVos, the Republican?
Jennifer Granholm 46%
Dick DeVos 35%
Undecided 19%

14. If the primary for United States Senator were held today, whom would you vote for Mike Bouchard, Keith Butler or Jerry Zandstra? (Republicans Only)
Mike Bouchard 27%
Jerry Zandstra 18%
Keith Butler 14%
Undecided 41%

15. Are you satisfied with current Republican candidates running for United States Senate or would you prefer another candidate to enter the race? (Republicans only)
Satisfied 33%
Prefer another candidate 44%
Undecided 23%

16. If the election for United States Senate were held today, whom would you vote for Debbie Stabenow, the Democrat or Mike Bouchard, the Republican?
Debbie Stabenow 47%
Mike Bouchard 35%
Undecided 18%

17. If the election for United States Senate were held today, whom would you vote for Debbie Stabenow, the Democrat or Keith Butler, the Republican?
Debbie Stabenow 48%
Keith Butler 26%
Undecided 26%

18. If the election for United States Senate were held today, whom would you vote for Debbie Stabenow, the Democrat or Jerry Zandstra, the Republican?
Debbie Stabenow 48%
Jerry Zandstra 24%
Undecided 28%

19. For the 2008 Republican Presidential Nomination whom would you support? (Republicans Only)
John McCain 35%
Rudy Giuliani 26%
Newt Gingrich 11%
Mitt Romney 10%
Bill Frist 2%
George Pataki 1%
George Allen 1%
Rick Santorum 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 12%

20. Would you like to see Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice run for President in 2008? (Republicans only)
Yes 45%
No 28%
Undecided 27%

21. If Condoleeza Rice were to run for President in 2008, whom would you support for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans only)
John McCain 31%
Rudy Giuliani 22%
Condoleezza Rice 15%
Newt Gingrich 8%
Mitt Romney 7%
Bill Frist 1%
Rick Santorum 1%
George Pataki 1%
George Allen 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 12%

22. For the 2008 Democratic Presidential Nomination whom would you support? (Democrats Only)
Hillary Clinton 32%
Al Gore 15%
John Edwards 11%
John Kerry 8%
Wesley Clark 7%
Russ Feingold 5%
Joseph Biden 3%
Mark Warner 3%
Evan Bayh 1%
Tom Vilsak 1%
Bill Richardson 1%
Ed Rendell 1%
Barbara Boxer 1%
Undecided 11%

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Predicted Electoral Math

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Odds of Winning

tab Obama -230, McCain +160

Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures
AK: Stevens vs Begich
CO: Schaffer vs Udall
IA: Reed vs Harkin
ID: Risch vs Larocco
KS: Roberts vs Slattery
KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
MA: Beatty vs Kerry
MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
ME: Collins vs Allen
MN: Coleman vs Franken
MS: Cochran vs Fleming
MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
NC: Dole vs Hagan
NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
NM: Pearce vs Udall
OK: Inhofe vs Rice
OR: Smith vs Merkley
SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
TX: Cornyn vs Noriega

VA: Gilmore vs Warner

 

Polls We Have Conducted...

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tab CA: Issues
tab CA: Prop 98 & 99
tab CA: Impact of Gender & Boss
tab CA: General Election

Useful History

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proloyProloy "Paul" Bhatta
M.S. Engineering; UCLA

david charles terrDavid Terr
Ph.D. Math; Berkeley
joseph hunterJoseph Hunter
High School Intern from Michigan

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Chinese: 奥巴马, 麦凯恩.
City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming.

One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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