Latest Presidential Tracking Polls 2008

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Below are the poll results based on telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in New Jersey, aged 18+, and conducted September 28-30, 2007. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance?
Approve 18%
Disapprove 71%
Undecided 11%

2. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy?
Approve 18%
Disapprove 70%
Undecided 12%

3. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war in Iraq?
Approve 21%
Disapprove 69%
Undecided 10%

4. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war on terrorism?
Approve 49%
Disapprove 41%
Undecided 10%

5. Do you view President Bush as a conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan? (Republicans only)
Yes 8%
No 76%
Undecided 16%

6. Do you favor a withdrawal of United States armed forces from Iraq within six months?
Yes 57%
No 32%
Undecided 11%

7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is performing its job?
Approve 15%
Disapprove 73%
Undecided 12%

8. Who is your first choice for the Democratic nomination in 2008? (Democrats only)
Hillary Clinton 52%
Barack Obama 21%
John Edwards 7%
Bill Richardson 5%
Joseph Biden 2%
Christopher Dodd 1%
Dennis Kucinich 1%
Undecided 11%

9. When making your selection for a presidential candidate, what are you looking for most in the candidate, charisma, experience, or ideology? (Democrats only)
Experience 41%
Ideology 18%
Charisma 17%
Undecided 24%

10. Whom would you support for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans only)
Rudy Giuliani 53%
Fred Thompson 11%
Mitt Romney 7%
John McCain 7%
Ron Paul 3%
Tom Tancredo 2%
Mike Huckabee 2%
Duncan Hunter 1%
Undecided 14%

11. How important is it for the Republican presidential candidate to be a conservative Republican in the mode of Ronald Reagan, very important, somewhat important, not very important, not important, or undecided? (Republicans only)
Very Important 34%
Somewhat Important 24%
Not Very Important 12%
Not Important 10%
Undecided 20%

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Predicted Electoral Math

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Odds of Winning

tab Obama -230, McCain +160

Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures
AK: Stevens vs Begich
CO: Schaffer vs Udall
IA: Reed vs Harkin
ID: Risch vs Larocco
KS: Roberts vs Slattery
KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
MA: Beatty vs Kerry
MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
ME: Collins vs Allen
MN: Coleman vs Franken
MS: Cochran vs Fleming
MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
NC: Dole vs Hagan
NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
NM: Pearce vs Udall
OK: Inhofe vs Rice
OR: Smith vs Merkley
SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
TX: Cornyn vs Noriega

VA: Gilmore vs Warner

 

Polls We Have Conducted...

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tab CA: Issues
tab CA: Prop 98 & 99
tab CA: Impact of Gender & Boss
tab CA: General Election

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proloyProloy "Paul" Bhatta
M.S. Engineering; UCLA

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Ph.D. Math; Berkeley
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High School Intern from Michigan

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Chinese: 奥巴马, 麦凯恩.
City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming.

One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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