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Below are the results of a three-day poll in the state of New York. Results are based on telephone interviews with 1200 likely voters in New York, aged 18+, and conducted February 24-26, 2006. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor George Pataki's overall job performance?
Approve 44%
Disapprove 39%
Undecided 17%

2. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Hillary Clinton's overall job performance?
Approve 56%
Disapprove 32%
Undecided 12%

3. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Chuck Shumer's overall job performance?
Approve 59%
Disapprove 30%
Undecided 11%

4. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance as President?
Approve 24%
Disapprove 66%
Undecided 10%

5. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy?
Approve 23%
Disapprove 67%
Undecided 10%

6. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war in Iraq?
Approve 25%
Disapprove 64%
Undecided 11%

7. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war on terrorism?
Approve 42%
Disapprove 47%
Undecided 11%

8. Do you view President Bush as a conservative in the Ronald Reagan mode? (Republicans only.)
Yes 21%
No 47%
Undecided 32%

9. Do you think New York is headed in the right direction or the wrong direction?
Right 23%
Wrong 61%
Undecided 16%

10. Would you like to see the United States Supreme Court overturn the Roe v. Wade decision that makes abortions legal in the United States?
Yes 22%
No 61%
Undecided 17%

11. Do you think the United States should or should not allow a United Arab Emirates company to operate United States shipping ports including ports in New York?
Should 10%
Should Not 78%
Undecided 12%

12. If the proposed ports deal does go through, and a United Arab Emirates company does operate United States shipping ports including New York, do you think there will be a greater chance of a terrorist attack in the United States?
Yes 81%
No 6%
Undecided 13%

13. Do you expect another terrorist attack within the United States in the next six months?
Yes 80%
No 7%
Undecided 13%

14. Do you favor an immediate withdrawal United States military forces from Iraq, within the next six months?
Yes 58%
No 22%
Undecided 20%

15. If the Democratic primary for Governor were held today, whom would you support, Attorney General Eliot Spitzer or Nassau County Executive Tom Suozzi? (Democrats Only)
Spitzer 73%
Suozzi 10%
Undecided 17%

16. If the Republican primary for Governor were held today, whom would you support, former Massachusetts Governor William Weld, former State Assembly Minority Leader John Faso, State Assemblyman Pat Manning, or former New York Secretary of State Randy Daniels? (Republicans Only)
William Weld 15%
John Faso 9%
Pat Manning 4%
Randy Daniels 3%
Undecided 69%

17. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Eliot Spitzer, the Democrat or William Weld, the Republican?
Eliot Spitzer 62%
William Weld 23%
Undecided 15%

18. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Eliot Spitzer, the Democrat or John Faso, the Republican?
Eliot Spitzer 65%
John Faso 24%
Undecided 11%

19. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Eliot Spitzer, the Democrat or Pat Manning, the Republican?
Eliot Spitzer 68%
Pat Manning 22%
Undecided 10%

20. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Eliot Spitzer, the Democrat or Randy Daniels, the Republican?
Eliot Spitzer 65%
Randy Daniels 20%
Undecided 15%

21. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Tom Suozzi, the Democrat or William Weld, the Republican?
Tom Suozzi 35%
William Weld 25%
Undecided 40%

22. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Tom Suozzi, the Democrat or John Faso, the Republican?
Tom Suozzi 36%
John Faso 23%
Undecided 41%

23. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Tom Suozzi, the Democrat or Pat Manning, the Republican?
Tom Suozzi 38%
Pat Manning 20%
Undecided 42%

24. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Tom Suozzi, the Democrat or Randy Daniels, the Republican?
Tom Suozzi 37%
Randy Daniels 19%
Undecided 44%

25. If the election for United States Senate was held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Hillary Clinton, the Democrat or John Spencer, the Republican?
Hillary Clinton 63%
John Spencer 24%
Undecided 13%

26. If the election for United States Senate was held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Hillary Clinton, the Democrat or Rudy Giuliani, the Republican?
Rudy Giuliani 45%
Hillary Clinton 41%
Undecided 14%

27. Do you believe that Senator Hillary Clinton will run for president in 2008?
Yes 68%
No 20%
Undecided 12%

28. Do you want Senator Hillary Clinton to run for president in 2008?
Yes 33%
No 57%
Undecided 10%

29. Do you want former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani to run for president in 2008?
Yes 64%
No 14%
Undecided 22%

30. Do you want Governor George Pataki to run for president in 2008?
Yes 26%
No 51%
Undecided 23%

31. For the 2008 Republican Presidential Nomination whom would you support? (Republicans only, candidates' names read to respondent to select.)
Rudy Giuliani 51%
John McCain 15%
George Pataki 7%
Mitt Romney 3%
Newt Gingrich 2%
Bill Frist 2%
Rick Santorum 1%
George Allen 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 17%

32. For the 2008 Republican Presidential Nomination whom would you support? (Republicans only, candidates' names read to respondent to select. Giuliani excluded)
John McCain 34%
George Pataki 10%
Mitt Romney 5%
Newt Gingrich 4%
Bill Frist 4%
Rick Santorum 2%
George Allen 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 39%

33. Would you like to see Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice run for President in 2008? (Republicans only.)
Yes 40%
No 34%
Undecided 26%

34. If Condoleeza Rice were to run for President in 2008, whom would you support for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans only, candidates' names read to respondent to select.)
Rudy Giuliani 48%
John McCain 10%
Condoleezza Rice 10%
George Pataki 5%
Mitt Romney 4%
Newt Gingrich 3%
Bill Frist 2%
Rick Santorum 1%
George Allen 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 15%

35. If Condoleeza Rice were to run for President in 2008, whom would you support for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans only, candidates' names read to respondent to select. Giuliani Excluded.)
John McCain 30%
Condoleezza Rice 15%
George Pataki 9%
Mitt Romney 5%
Newt Gingrich 3%
Bill Frist 3%
Rick Santorum 1%
George Allen 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 32%

36. For the 2008 Democratic Presidential Nomination whom would you support? (Democrats only, candidates' names read to respondent to select.)
Hillary Clinton 42%
Al Gore 15%
John Edwards 11%
John Kerry 6%
Wesley Clark 4%
Joseph Biden 3%
Russ Feingold 3%
Ed Rendell 1%
Evan Bayh 1%
Tom Vilsak 1%
Mark Warner 1%
Bill Richardson 1%
Barbara Boxer 1%
Undecided 10%

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Predicted Electoral Math

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Odds of Winning

tab Obama -230, McCain +160

Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures
AK: Stevens vs Begich
CO: Schaffer vs Udall
IA: Reed vs Harkin
ID: Risch vs Larocco
KS: Roberts vs Slattery
KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
MA: Beatty vs Kerry
MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
ME: Collins vs Allen
MN: Coleman vs Franken
MS: Cochran vs Fleming
MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
NC: Dole vs Hagan
NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
NM: Pearce vs Udall
OK: Inhofe vs Rice
OR: Smith vs Merkley
SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
TX: Cornyn vs Noriega

VA: Gilmore vs Warner

 

Polls We Have Conducted...

tab CA: Bush, Congress, Arnold
tab CA: Issues
tab CA: Prop 98 & 99
tab CA: Impact of Gender & Boss
tab CA: General Election

Useful History

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proloyProloy "Paul" Bhatta
M.S. Engineering; UCLA

david charles terrDavid Terr
Ph.D. Math; Berkeley
joseph hunterJoseph Hunter
High School Intern from Michigan

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Chinese: 奥巴马, 麦凯恩.
City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming.

One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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