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Below are the results of a three-day poll of registered voters in the state of New York. Results are based on telephone interviews with 1200 registered voters in New York, aged 18+, and conducted April 21-23, 2006. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor George Pataki's overall job performance?
Approve 45%
Disapprove 38%
Undecided 17%

2. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Hillary Clinton's overall job performance?
Approve 55%
Disapprove 30%
Undecided 15%

3. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Chuck Shumer's overall job performance?
Approve 60%
Disapprove 28%
Undecided 12%

4. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance as President?
Approve 23%
Disapprove 68%
Undecided 9%

5. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy?
Approve 21%
Disapprove 70%
Undecided 9%

6. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war in Iraq?
Approve 26%
Disapprove 67%
Undecided 7%

7. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war on terrorism?
Approve 44%
Disapprove 43%
Undecided 13%

8. Do you view President Bush as a conservative in the Ronald Reagan mode? (Republicans only.)
Yes 18%
No 54%
Undecided 28%

9. Do you think New York is headed in the right direction or the wrong direction?
Right 22%
Wrong 60%
Undecided 18%

10. Do you expect another terrorist attack within the United States in the next six months?
Yes 82%
No 8%
Undecided 10%

11. Do you favor an immediate withdrawal United States military forces from Iraq, within the next six months?
Yes 60%
No 20%
Undecided 20%

12. If the Democratic primary for Governor were held today, whom would you support, Attorney General Eliot Spitzer or Nassau County Executive Tom Suozzi? (Democrats only.)
Eliot Spitzer 70%
Tom Suozzi 12%
Undecided 18%

13. If the Republican primary for Governor were held today, whom would you support, former State Assembly Minority Leader John Faso or former Massachusetts Governor William Weld? (Republicans only.)
John Faso 23%
William Weld 17%
Undecided 60%

14. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Eliot Spitzer, the Democrat or John Faso, the Republican?
Eliot Spitzer 63%
John Faso 26%
Undecided 11%

15. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Eliot Spitzer, the Democrat or William Weld, the Republican?
Eliot Spitzer 65%
William Weld 24%
Undecided 11%

16. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Tom Suozzi, the Democrat or John Faso, the Republican?
Tom Suozzi 38%
John Faso 27%
Undecided 35%

17. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Tom Suozzi, the Democrat or William Weld, the Republican?
Tom Suozzi 39%
William Weld 24%
Undecided 37%

18. If the election for United States Senate was held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Hillary Clinton, the Democrat or John Spencer, the Republican?
Hillary Clinton 58%
John Spencer 24%
Undecided 18%

19. If the election for United States Senate was held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Hillary Clinton, the Democrat or Kathleen "K.T." McFarland, the Republican?
Hillary Clinton 59%
Kathleen "K.T." McFarland 24%
Undecided 17%

20. If the election for United States Senate was held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Hillary Clinton, the Democrat or Rudy Giuliani, the Republican?
Rudy Giuliani 44%
Hillary Clinton 41%
Undecided 15%

21. Do you believe that Senator Hillary Clinton will run for president in 2008?
Yes 70%
No 20%
Undecided 10%

22. Do you want Senator Hillary Clinton to run for president in 2008?
Yes 31%
No 57%
Undecided 12%

23. Do you want former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani to run for president in 2008?
Yes 62%
No 16%
Undecided 22%

24. Do you want Governor George Pataki to run for president in 2008?
Yes 23%
No 55%
Undecided 22%

25. For the 2008 Republican Presidential Nomination whom would you support? (Republicans only, candidates' names read to respondent to select.)
Rudy Giuliani 53%
John McCain 13%
George Pataki 5%
Mitt Romney 4%
Newt Gingrich 2%
Bill Frist 2%
Rick Santorum 1%
George Allen 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 18%

26. For the 2008 Republican Presidential Nomination whom would you support? (Republicans only, candidates' names read to respondent to select. Giuliani excluded.)
John McCain 38%
George Pataki 11%
Mitt Romney 5%
Newt Gingrich 4%
Bill Frist 4%
Rick Santorum 2%
George Allen 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 34%

27. Would you like to see Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice run for President in 2008? (Republicans only.)
Yes 43%
No 32%
Undecided 25%

28. If Condoleeza Rice were to run for President in 2008, whom would you support for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans only, candidates' names read to respondent to select.)
Rudy Giuliani 49%
John McCain 12%
Condoleezza Rice 11%
George Pataki 4%
Mitt Romney 4%
Newt Gingrich 2%
Bill Frist 2%
Rick Santorum 1%
George Allen 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 13%

29. If Condoleeza Rice were to run for President in 2008, whom would you support for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans only, candidates' names read to respondent to select. Giuliani Excluded.)
John McCain 33%
Condoleezza Rice 14%
George Pataki 11%
Mitt Romney 5%
Newt Gingrich 4%
Bill Frist 3%
Rick Santorum 1%
George Allen 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 27%

30. For the 2008 Democratic Presidential Nomination whom would you support? (Democrats only, candidates' names read to respondent to select.)
Hillary Clinton 40%
Al Gore 14%
John Edwards 12%
John Kerry 10%
Wesley Clark 5%
Joseph Biden 2%
Russ Feingold 2%
Ed Rendell 1%
Evan Bayh 1%
Tom Vilsak 1%
Mark Warner 1%
Bill Richardson 1%
Barbara Boxer 1%
Undecided 9%

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Predicted Electoral Math

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Odds of Winning

tab Obama -230, McCain +160

Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures
AK: Stevens vs Begich
CO: Schaffer vs Udall
IA: Reed vs Harkin
ID: Risch vs Larocco
KS: Roberts vs Slattery
KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
MA: Beatty vs Kerry
MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
ME: Collins vs Allen
MN: Coleman vs Franken
MS: Cochran vs Fleming
MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
NC: Dole vs Hagan
NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
NM: Pearce vs Udall
OK: Inhofe vs Rice
OR: Smith vs Merkley
SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
TX: Cornyn vs Noriega

VA: Gilmore vs Warner

 

Polls We Have Conducted...

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tab CA: Issues
tab CA: Prop 98 & 99
tab CA: Impact of Gender & Boss
tab CA: General Election

Useful History

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Ph.D. Math; Berkeley
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Chinese: 奥巴马, 麦凯恩.
City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming.

One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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