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Below are the results of a three-day poll of registered voters in the state of New York. Results are based on telephone interviews with 1200 registered voters in New York, aged 18+, and conducted September 26-28, 2005. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

1. Do approve or disapprove or disapprove of Governor George Pataki's job overall performance?
Approve 49%
Disapprove 41%
Undecided 10%

2. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Hillary Clinton's overall job performance?
Approve 56%
Disapprove 39%
Undecided 5%

3. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Chuck Shumer's overall job performance?
Approve 61%
Disapprove 29%
Undecided 10%

4. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance as President?
Approve 32%
Disapprove 64%
Undecided 4%

5. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy?
Approve 29%
Disapprove 65%
Undecided 6%

6. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war in Iraq?
Approve 29%
Disapprove 61%
Undecided 10%

7. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the federal response to Hurricane Rita and Hurricane Katrina?
Approve 26%
Disapprove 66%
Undecided 8%

8. Do you think New York is headed in the right direction or the wrong direction?
Right 37%
Wrong 55%
Undecided 8%

9. Would you like to see the United States Supreme Court overturn the Roe v. Wade decision that makes abortions legal in the United States?
Yes 28%
No 61%
Undecided 11%

10. The cost to the federal government for rebuilding the Gulf Coast after Hurricane Katrina is expected to exceed $200 billion. In order to pay for the costs of rebuilding the Gulf Coast, would you favor raising federal taxes?
Yes 15%
No 61%
Undecided 24%

11. The cost to the federal government for rebuilding the Gulf Coast after Hurricane Katrina is expected to exceed $200 billion. Some in Congress have said that in order to pay for this, we should not make President Bush's tax cuts permanent. Would you favor deferring making the federal tax cuts permanent in order to pay for the costs of rebuilding the Gulf Coast?
Yes 31%
No 43%
Undecided 26%

12. Do you expect another terrorist attack within the United States in the next six months?
Yes 73%
No 7%
Undecided 20%

13. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Elliott Spitzer, the Democrat or William Weld, the Republican?
Elliott Spitzer 56%
William Weld 23%
Undecided 21%

14. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Elliott Spitzer, the Democrat or Tom Gosliano, the Republican?
Elliott Spitzer 53%
Tom Gosliano 32%
Undecided 15%

15. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Elliott Spitzer, the Democrat or Randy Daniels, the Republican?
Elliott Spitzer 55%
Randy Daniels 20%
Undecided 25%

16. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Elliott Spitzer, the Democrat or Michael Balboni, the Republican?
Elliott Spitzer 57%
Michael Balboni 17%
Undecided 26%

17. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Elliott Spitzer, the Democrat or Rudy Giuliani, the Republican?
Elliott Spitzer 43%
Rudy Giuliani 54%
Undecided 3%

18. If the election for United States Senate was held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Hillary Clinton, the Democrat or Jeanine Pirro, the Republican?
Hillary Clinton 55%
Jeanine Pirro 33%
Undecided 12%

19. If the election for United States Senate was held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Hillary Clinton, the Democrat or Ed Cox, the Republican?
Hillary Clinton 62%
Ed Cox 22%
Undecided 16%

20. If the election for United States Senate was held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Hillary Clinton, the Democrat or John Spencer, the Republican?
Hillary Clinton 64%
John Spencer 19%
Undecided 17%

21. If the election for United States Senate was held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Hillary Clinton, the Democrat or Rudy Giuliani, the Republican?
Hillary Clinton 49%
Rudy Giuliani 46%
Undecided 5%

22. Do you believe that Senator Hillary Clinton will run for president in 2008?
Yes 58%
No 32%
Undecided 10%

23. Do you want Senator Hillary Clinton to run for president in 2008?
Yes 36%
No 53%
Undecided 11%

24. For the 2008 Republican Presidential Nomination whom would you support? (Republicans Only, Candidates names read to respondent to select)
Rudy Giuliani 45%
John McCain 15%
George Pataki 5%
Mitt Romney 4%
Bill Frist 4%
Newt Gingrich 3%
Rick Santorum 2%
George Allen 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 20%

25. Would you like to see Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice run for President in 2008? (Republicans only)
Yes 38%
No 30%
Undecided 32%

26. If Condoleeza Rice were to run for President in 2008, whom would you support for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans Only, Candidates names read to respondent to select)
Rudy Giuliani 44%
John McCain 11%
Condoleezza Rice 9%
George Pataki 4%
Mitt Romney 2%
Bill Frist 2%
Rick Santorum 1%
Newt Gingrich 1%
George Allen 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 24%

27. For the 2008 Democratic Presidential Nomination whom would you support? (Democrats Only, Candidates names read to respondent to select)
Hillary Clinton 43%
Al Gore 10%
John Kerry 9%
Joseph Biden 6%
John Edwards 4%
Wesley Clark 3%
Ed Rendell 2%
Evan Bayh 1%
Russ Feingold 1%
Tom Vilsak 1%
Mark Warner 1%
Bill Richardson 1%
Barbara Boxer 1%
Undecided 17%

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Predicted Electoral Math

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Odds of Winning

tab Obama -230, McCain +160

Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures
AK: Stevens vs Begich
CO: Schaffer vs Udall
IA: Reed vs Harkin
ID: Risch vs Larocco
KS: Roberts vs Slattery
KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
MA: Beatty vs Kerry
MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
ME: Collins vs Allen
MN: Coleman vs Franken
MS: Cochran vs Fleming
MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
NC: Dole vs Hagan
NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
NM: Pearce vs Udall
OK: Inhofe vs Rice
OR: Smith vs Merkley
SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
TX: Cornyn vs Noriega

VA: Gilmore vs Warner

 

Polls We Have Conducted...

tab CA: Bush, Congress, Arnold
tab CA: Issues
tab CA: Prop 98 & 99
tab CA: Impact of Gender & Boss
tab CA: General Election

Useful History

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tab 2004 Primary Polls

 

proloyProloy "Paul" Bhatta
M.S. Engineering; UCLA

david charles terrDavid Terr
Ph.D. Math; Berkeley
joseph hunterJoseph Hunter
High School Intern from Michigan

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City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming.

One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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