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Below are the results of a three-day poll of registered voters in the state of New York. Results are based on telephone interviews with 1200 registered voters in New York, aged 18+, and conducted October 23-25, 2005. The margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

1. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor George Pataki's job overall performance?
Approve 47%
Disapprove 38%
Undecided 15%

2. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Hillary Clinton's overall job performance?
Approve 55%
Disapprove 37%
Undecided 8%

3. Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Chuck Shumer's overall job performance?
Approve 60%
Disapprove 29%
Undecided 11%

4. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's overall job performance as President?
Approve 30%
Disapprove 65%
Undecided 5%

5. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the economy?
Approve 27%
Disapprove 65%
Undecided 8%

6. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's handling of the war in Iraq?
Approve 28%
Disapprove 61%
Undecided 11%

7. Do you view President Bush as a conservative in the Ronald Reagan mode? (Republicans only.)
Yes 28%
No 39%
Undecided 33%

8. Do you think New York is headed in the right direction or the wrong direction?
Right 35%
Wrong 57%
Undecided 8%

9. Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush's nomination of Harriet Miers to replace Sandra Day O'Connor on the United States Supreme Court?
Approve 38%
Disapprove 32%
Undecided 30%

10. Would you like to see the United States Supreme Court overturn the Roe v. Wade decision that makes abortions legal in the United States?
Yes 25%
No 60%
Undecided 15%

11. Do you expect another terrorist attack within the United States in the next six months?
Yes 74%
No 9%
Undecided 17%

12. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Elliott Spitzer, the Democrat or William Weld, the Republican?
Elliott Spitzer 56%
William Weld 24%
Undecided 20%

13. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Elliott Spitzer, the Democrat or Tom Gosliano, the Republican?
Elliott Spitzer 55%
Tom Gosliano 34%
Undecided 11%

14. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Elliott Spitzer, the Democrat or Randy Daniels, the Republican?
Elliott Spitzer 56%
Randy Daniels 19%
Undecided 25%

15. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Elliott Spitzer, the Democrat or Michael Balboni, the Republican?
Elliott Spitzer 57%
Michael Balboni 16%
Undecided 27%

16. If the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Elliott Spitzer, the Democrat or Rudy Giuliani, the Republican?
Elliott Spitzer 42%
Rudy Giuliani 53%
Undecided 5%

17. If the election for United States Senate was held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Hillary Clinton, the Democrat or Jeanine Pirro, the Republican?
Hillary Clinton 57%
Jeanine Pirro 34%
Undecided 9%

18. If the election for United States Senate was held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Hillary Clinton, the Democrat or John Spencer, the Republican?
Hillary Clinton 66%
John Spencer 19%
Undecided 15%

19. If the election for United States Senate was held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Hillary Clinton, the Democrat or Bill Brenner, the Republican?
Hillary Clinton 67%
Bill Brenner 15%
Undecided 18%

20. If the election for United States Senate was held today, whom would you vote for if the candidates were, Hillary Clinton, the Democrat or Rudy Giuliani, the Republican?
Hillary Clinton 46%
Rudy Giuliani 46%
Undecided 8%

21. Do you believe that Senator Hillary Clinton will run for president in 2008?
Yes 60%
No 28%
Undecided 12%

22. Do you want Senator Hillary Clinton to run for president in 2008?
Yes 34%
No 55%
Undecided 11%

23. Do you want former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani to run for president in 2008?
Yes 61%
No 20%
Undecided 19%

24. Do you want Governor George Pataki to run for president in 2008?
Yes 34%
No 48%
Undecided 18%

25. For the 2008 Republican Presidential Nomination whom would you support? (Republicans only, candidates' names read to respondent to select.)
Rudy Giuliani 46%
John McCain 16%
George Pataki 9%
Mitt Romney 4%
Newt Gingrich 4%
Bill Frist 3%
Rick Santorum 2%
George Allen 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 14%

26. Would you like to see Secretary of State Condoleeza Rice run for President in 2008? (Republicans only.)
Yes 36%
No 32%
Undecided 32%

27. If Condoleeza Rice were to run for President in 2008, whom would you support for the Republican nomination in 2008? (Republicans only, candidates' names read to respondent to select.)
Rudy Giuliani 45%
John McCain 10%
Condoleezza Rice 10%
George Pataki 6%
Mitt Romney 3%
Newt Gingrich 3%
Bill Frist 2%
Rick Santorum 1%
George Allen 1%
Chuck Hagel 1%
Undecided 18%

28. For the 2008 Democratic Presidential Nomination whom would you support? (Democrats only, candidates' names read to respondent to select.)
Hillary Clinton 40%
Al Gore 12%
John Kerry 10%
Joseph Biden 7%
John Edwards 6%
Wesley Clark 5%
Ed Rendell 2%
Evan Bayh 1%
Russ Feingold 1%
Tom Vilsak 1%
Mark Warner 1%
Bill Richardson 1%
Barbara Boxer 1%
Undecided 12%

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Predicted Electoral Math

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Odds of Winning

tab Obama -230, McCain +160

Senate Races 2008

AL: Sessions vs Figures
AK: Stevens vs Begich
CO: Schaffer vs Udall
IA: Reed vs Harkin
ID: Risch vs Larocco
KS: Roberts vs Slattery
KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
MA: Beatty vs Kerry
MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
ME: Collins vs Allen
MN: Coleman vs Franken
MS: Cochran vs Fleming
MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
NC: Dole vs Hagan
NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
NM: Pearce vs Udall
OK: Inhofe vs Rice
OR: Smith vs Merkley
SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
TX: Cornyn vs Noriega

VA: Gilmore vs Warner

 

Polls We Have Conducted...

tab CA: Bush, Congress, Arnold
tab CA: Issues
tab CA: Prop 98 & 99
tab CA: Impact of Gender & Boss
tab CA: General Election

Useful History

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tab 2004 Primary Polls

 

proloyProloy "Paul" Bhatta
M.S. Engineering; UCLA

david charles terrDavid Terr
Ph.D. Math; Berkeley
joseph hunterJoseph Hunter
High School Intern from Michigan

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Chinese: 奥巴马, 麦凯恩.
City Demographics: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming.

One of the biggest perturbations of Random Digit Dialing polling (RDD) is the accidental calling of business phone numbers. So we track these numbers and report to you the prefixes within each area code most likely to be reserved for business use.

Business Listings By Area Code: 201, 202, 203, 205, 206, 207, 208, 209, 210, 212, 213, 214, 215, 216, 217, 218, 219, 225, 228, 229, 239, 240, 248, 250, 251, 252, 253, 256, 260, 262, 267, 269, 270, 281, 283, 301, 302, 303, 304, 305, 307, 309, 310, 312, 313, 314, 315, 316, 317, 318, 319, 320, 321, 323, 325, 330, 334, 336, 337, 347, 352, 353, 360, 361, 386, 401, 402, 404, 405, 406, 407, 408, 409, 410, 412, 413, 414, 415, 417, 419, 423, 425, 432, 434, 435, 440, 443, 469, 478, 479, 480, 484, 501, 502, 503, 504, 505, 507, 508, 509, 510, 512, 513, 515, 516, 517, 518, 520, 530, 540, 541, 559, 561, 562, 563, 570, 571, 573, 574, 580, 585, 586, 601, 602, 603, 605, 606, 607, 608, 609, 610, 612, 614, 615, 616, 617, 619, 623, 626, 630, 631, 636, 641, 646, 650, 651, 660, 661, 662, 678, 682, 701, 702, 703, 704, 706, 707, 708, 712, 713, 714, 715, 716, 717, 718, 719, 720, 724, 727, 731, 732, 734, 740, 757, 760, 763, 765, 770, 773, 774, 775, 781, 785, 786, 787, 800, 801, 802, 803, 804, 805, 806, 808, 810, 812, 813, 814, 815, 816, 817, 818, 830, 831, 832, 843, 845, 847, 850, 856, 857, 858, 859, 860, 863, 864, 865, 866, 870, 877, 888, 901, 903, 904, 906, 907, 908, 909, 910, 912, 913, 914, 915, 916, 917, 918, 919, 920, 925, 928, 931, 936, 937, 940, 941, 949, 951, 952, 954, 956, 970, 971, 972, 973, 978, 979, 980, 985, 989.

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